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How accurate is robot reaching goal?

We have a very simple robot with differential steering and Hokuyo Laser range scanner. Our HectorSLAM have only the laser data for the navigation. Our question is, from your experiences, how accurately can such a robot reach the goal at a distance of 15 meters with plenty of obstacles in its way. We don't need any precipice numbers, estimates are OK, we just need and idea of what to expect.